SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
16.34% ( 0.88) | 19.59% ( 0.27) | 64.07% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( 1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% ( 0.52) | 38.44% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.27% ( 0.55) | 60.73% ( -0.55) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( 1.42) | 36.67% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.54% ( 1.4) | 73.46% ( -1.4) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.65% ( -0.15) | 11.36% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.94% ( -0.33) | 36.06% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.34% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.37)0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.89% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.24% Total : 64.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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