SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Udinese |
36.51% ( 0.09) | 26.07% ( -0.02) | 37.42% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% ( 0.07) | 50.49% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( 0.06) | 72.42% ( -0.06) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( 0.08) | 26.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.93% ( 0.11) | 62.07% ( -0.11) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.01) | 26.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.62% ( -0.01) | 61.38% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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