SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Bologna | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Atalanta BC |
21.96% ( 0.11) | 23.15% ( 0.25) | 54.89% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( -0.97) | 45.96% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( -0.92) | 68.27% ( 0.92) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( -0.44) | 35.09% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.15% ( -0.46) | 71.84% ( 0.45) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.47) | 16.62% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.55% ( -0.85) | 46.45% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 54.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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