SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Torino |
39.85% ( 0.15) | 25.06% ( -0.05) | 35.08% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( 0.19) | 46.13% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( 0.18) | 68.43% ( -0.18) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.16) | 22.99% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.21% ( 0.24) | 56.79% ( -0.24) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( 0.03) | 25.56% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.57% ( 0.04) | 60.42% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Torino |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 35 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 83 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 35 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 66 |
| 3 | Juventus | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Lazio | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 65 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 59 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 58 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 49 |
| 9 | Monza | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Torino | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 |
| 11 | Bologna | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 47 |
| 12 | Udinese | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Lecce | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 30 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 30 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 17 |
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