Pitching together two of the lowest-scoring teams outside the bottom three, this fixture is surely bound for a close-fought draw.
Even though Spezia are the team to have faced the most shots in Serie A this season, timid Torino have landed only a league-low 97 on target themselves, so a goalfest is not on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
