As neither side has proved themselves defensively secure in recent outings, there are likely to be goals in this contest - even if the hosts have struggled in that respect recently.
Atalanta's hapless home run must come to an end some time, and they will just edge this encounter against a mid-table Hellas team with little left to play for.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
