SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
46.74% ( -0.09) | 25.74% ( 0.02) | 27.52% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( -0.01) | 51.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% ( -0.01) | 73.66% ( 0.01) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.04) | 22.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.39% ( -0.06) | 55.6% ( 0.07) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% ( 0.05) | 33.55% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.81% ( 0.06) | 70.19% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 9 | 35 | 48 |
| 2 | Juventus | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 46 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 39 |
| 4 | Fiorentina | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Bologna | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 32 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 30 |
| 7 | Lazio | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Roma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 |
| 9 | Napoli | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Torino | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 27 |
| 11 | Monza | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 25 |
| 12 | Genoa | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
| 14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Udinese | 19 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 | Empoli | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 13 |
| 20 | Salernitana | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 12 |
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