SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | AC Milan | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Juventus | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
28.98% ( 0.03) | 22.17% ( 0.01) | 48.85% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.12% ( -0.03) | 34.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.14% ( -0.03) | 56.86% ( 0.03) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( 0) | 23.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.09% ( 0) | 57.91% ( -0) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( -0.02) | 14.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.09% ( -0.04) | 42.91% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.98% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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