SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Salernitana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Atalanta BC |
21.83% ( 0.01) | 22.89% ( 0) | 55.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.01) | 44.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.01) | 67.29% ( -0.01) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.02) | 34.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.64% ( 0.02) | 71.36% ( -0.02) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( 0) | 16.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.46% ( 0) | 45.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.83% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 6% 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)1-5 @ 1% 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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