SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AC Milan | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Udinese | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Lazio | 6 | 4 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Udinese win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
16.07% ( 0.33) | 20.04% ( 0.22) | 63.89% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0.37) | 41.06% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% ( -0.38) | 63.45% ( 0.38) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0.18) | 38.62% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.64% ( 0.17) | 75.36% ( -0.17) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% ( -0.26) | 12.18% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.17% ( -0.55) | 37.83% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.07% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.04% | 0-2 @ 10.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.85% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.66% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.64% Total : 63.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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