SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Roma | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Napoli | 4 | 7 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
32.93% ( -0.74) | 25.5% ( -0.99) | 41.56% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( 3.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% ( 4.01) | 48.54% ( -4.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( 3.55) | 70.66% ( -3.55) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( 1.5) | 28.01% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.34% ( 1.87) | 63.66% ( -1.87) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( 2.69) | 23.2% ( -2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.9% ( 3.78) | 57.09% ( -3.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -1.06) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.93% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.52) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -1.14)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.46)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.4)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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