SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Udinese | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Spezia | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Lazio | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
20.93% ( -0.41) | 20.57% ( -0.01) | 58.5% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.63% ( -0.53) | 35.37% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.6% ( -0.59) | 57.4% ( 0.6) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( -0.68) | 30.04% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.84% ( -0.82) | 66.16% ( 0.83) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% ( -0.05) | 11.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.7% ( -0.11) | 37.3% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 20.93% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.19)0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.67% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 58.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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