SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
45.51% ( 2.07) | 22.24% ( -0.37) | 32.25% ( -1.7) |
| Both teams to score 66.82% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.65% ( 1.2) | 33.36% ( -1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.87% ( 1.37) | 55.13% ( -1.37) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( 1.24) | 15.31% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.96% ( 2.28) | 44.04% ( -2.28) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -0.32) | 21.11% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.06% ( -0.51) | 53.94% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.17)4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.71% Total : 32.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Juventus | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 66 |
| 3 | Lazio | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 63 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Udinese | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 46 |
| 10 | Monza | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Torino | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 46 |
| 12 | Bologna | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 35 |
| 16 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 56 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 24 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 17 |
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