SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Spezia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
74.4% ( 0.92) | 15.23% ( -0.44) | 10.37% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.75) | 31.95% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.49% ( 0.88) | 53.51% ( -0.87) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.71% ( 0.36) | 7.28% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.64% ( 0.94) | 26.36% ( -0.94) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( -0.33) | 41.17% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.29% ( -0.29) | 77.71% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.63% Total : 74.39% | 1-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.23% | 1-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.32% Total : 10.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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