SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Spezia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Lecce | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Empoli | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Empoli |
43.19% ( 0.08) | 26.34% ( -0.02) | 30.47% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( 0.09) | 52.85% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% ( 0.07) | 74.46% ( -0.07) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( 0.08) | 24.28% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.34% ( 0.11) | 58.66% ( -0.11) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 0.01) | 31.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.74% ( 0.01) | 68.26% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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