SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Inter Milan | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Juventus | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Monza | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 75.83%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Cremonese |
75.83% ( 1.06) | 14.97% ( -0.44) | 9.19% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.34% ( 0.1) | 34.66% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.39% ( 0.11) | 56.6% ( -0.12) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.39% ( 0.25) | 7.61% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.78% ( 0.63) | 27.21% ( -0.63) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.59% ( -1.2) | 45.41% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.74% ( -0.96) | 81.26% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Cremonese |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 5% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.09)6-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 75.83% | 1-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.97% | 1-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.67% Total : 9.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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