After cruising through to this stage with wins over Genoa and Lazio in the previous rounds, Milan have since started to falter in the league - but they now meet an Inter side that suffered an even worse case of February blues.
However, the combination of a lust for revenge following their recent Derby loss and the improbability of their winless run stretching to a fifth straight match should see Inzaghi's men edge it.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
