SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Torino | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Udinese | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atalanta BC | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Roma | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Roma |
29.15% ( -0.33) | 25.88% ( -0.19) | 44.97% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.41% ( 0.62) | 51.59% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( 0.54) | 73.38% ( -0.53) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( 0.08) | 32.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.38% ( 0.09) | 68.62% ( -0.08) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.52) | 22.88% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.37% ( 0.76) | 56.63% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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