SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Roma | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Juventus | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Roma | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Juventus | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Roma |
43.1% ( -0.58) | 26.13% ( 0.22) | 30.77% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% ( -0.77) | 51.88% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( -0.67) | 73.63% ( 0.67) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( -0.62) | 23.9% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.89% ( -0.89) | 58.11% ( 0.89) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.14) | 31.12% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.55% ( -0.17) | 67.45% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
