SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Roma |
| 27.07% | 24.75% ( 0.01) | 48.18% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( -0.04) | 48.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( -0.03) | 70.28% ( 0.03) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( -0.02) | 31.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.65% ( -0.02) | 68.34% ( 0.02) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.02) | 20.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.78% ( -0.03) | 52.21% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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