SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Udinese |
37.14% ( -0.94) | 25.23% ( -0.22) | 37.63% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( 1.02) | 46.7% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( 0.95) | 68.96% ( -0.95) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.04) | 24.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.81% ( -0.06) | 59.19% ( 0.06) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( 1.11) | 24.4% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.18% ( 1.54) | 58.82% ( -1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.14% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.9% Total : 37.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
| 2 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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