SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Juventus | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Spezia | 6 | -5 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Hellas Verona |
57.24% ( 0.3) | 22.34% ( -0.04) | 20.42% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.15) | 44.32% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( -0.15) | 66.7% ( 0.14) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( 0.05) | 15.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.08% ( 0.09) | 43.92% ( -0.09) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( -0.34) | 35.67% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.56% ( -0.35) | 72.44% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.24% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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