SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Empoli | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Fiorentina | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Lecce | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Bologna | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Hellas Verona | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 6 | -5 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
62.69% ( 0.86) | 21.06% ( -0.38) | 16.25% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.69% ( 0.81) | 45.31% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( 0.77) | 67.65% ( -0.77) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 0.53) | 13.85% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.77% ( 1.03) | 41.23% ( -1.03) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.03% ( -0.11) | 40.97% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.47% ( -0.1) | 77.53% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.78% Total : 62.67% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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