SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Empoli | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Bologna | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Lecce | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Salernitana | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 5 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
37.54% ( -0.07) | 25.57% ( 0.01) | 36.89% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( -0.05) | 48.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( -0.05) | 70.43% ( 0.05) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.06) | 25.17% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.1% ( -0.08) | 59.9% ( 0.08) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.01) | 25.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.61% ( 0.01) | 60.39% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.54% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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