SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Monza | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Empoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Lecce | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
41.63% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( -0.01) | 34.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.03) | 41.79% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( 0.03) | 64.19% ( -0.03) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( 0) | 20.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.38% ( 0) | 52.62% ( -0) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.04) | 23.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.77% ( 0.05) | 58.23% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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