SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
39.05% ( 0.71) | 25.2% ( 0.4) | 35.75% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.35% ( -1.93) | 46.65% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.09% ( -1.83) | 68.91% ( 1.83) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -0.5) | 23.63% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.29% ( -0.72) | 57.71% ( 0.72) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( -1.5) | 25.42% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.77% ( -2.1) | 60.23% ( 2.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 15 | 39 | 59 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 |
| 6 | Lazio | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
| 7 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
| 8 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Juventus | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 29 |
| 10 | Monza | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 29 |
| 11 | Bologna | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Empoli | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Fiorentina | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 10 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 22 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 8 |
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