SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Hellas Verona |
37.28% ( 0.01) | 26.61% ( -0.08) | 36.11% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% ( 0.32) | 52.78% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% ( 0.28) | 74.41% ( -0.27) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( 0.16) | 27.42% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.1% ( 0.2) | 62.9% ( -0.2) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( 0.2) | 28.11% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.21% ( 0.25) | 63.79% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.28% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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