SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Spezia | 5 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Empoli | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 5 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
42.77% ( -0.47) | 26.66% ( 0.38) | 30.57% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( -1.47) | 54.08% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -1.24) | 75.5% ( 1.24) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.89) | 25.04% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.28% ( -1.25) | 59.72% ( 1.25) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( -0.69) | 32.39% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.09% ( -0.78) | 68.9% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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