SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Bologna | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lecce | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Spezia | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Empoli | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Empoli |
54.35% ( 0.73) | 24.58% ( 0.08) | 21.07% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( -1.19) | 52.75% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( -1.03) | 74.39% ( 1.03) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.17) | 19.35% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.87% ( -0.28) | 51.12% ( 0.28) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.18% ( -1.5) | 39.81% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.52% ( -1.41) | 76.48% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.34% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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