SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
61.56% ( 0.02) | 22.41% ( -0.01) | 16.02% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( -0.02) | 51.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% ( -0.02) | 73.09% ( 0.02) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( 0) | 16.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.34% | 45.65% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.16% ( -0.04) | 44.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.19% ( -0.03) | 80.8% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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