SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Atalanta BC | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Udinese | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
56.66% ( 0.09) | 21.27% ( 0.01) | 22.07% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( -0.16) | 37.23% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( -0.17) | 59.44% ( 0.17) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( -0.02) | 13.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.37% ( -0.05) | 39.64% ( 0.05) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.17) | 30.1% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.76% ( -0.21) | 66.24% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.64% 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 56.66% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 22.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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