SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Chelsea |
45.17% ( -0.06) | 23.26% ( -0.03) | 31.56% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.61% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.28% ( 0.21) | 38.72% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.97% ( 0.22) | 61.03% ( -0.22) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.06) | 17.52% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.96% ( 0.1) | 48.04% ( -0.1) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.16) | 24.09% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.62% ( 0.23) | 58.38% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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