SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 34.28% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.14%).
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
34.28% ( 0.8) | 23.05% ( -0.19) | 42.67% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 64.54% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.34% ( 1.19) | 36.65% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.19% ( 1.29) | 58.81% ( -1.29) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.99) | 21.58% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( 1.5) | 54.68% ( -1.5) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( 0.23) | 17.7% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.65% ( 0.4) | 48.35% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.61% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.98% Total : 42.67% |
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