SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
33.04% ( -0.18) | 25.74% ( -0.03) | 41.22% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( 0.09) | 49.53% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( 0.08) | 71.56% ( -0.08) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.07) | 28.43% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( -0.09) | 64.18% ( 0.09) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( 0.15) | 23.81% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% ( 0.21) | 57.97% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.04% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.22% |
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