SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Girona had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Girona |
70.3% ( 0.84) | 17.31% ( -0.21) | 12.39% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.59) | 36.54% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( -0.64) | 58.68% ( 0.65) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( 0.05) | 9.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.64% ( 0.1) | 31.36% ( -0.1) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.1% ( -1.35) | 40.9% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.53% ( -1.23) | 77.47% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Girona |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.43% Total : 70.29% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.31% | 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.51% Total : 12.39% |
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