Getafe's recent away record is excellent, posting three straight wins, conceding only once, and we are therefore struggling to predict a loss for the capital side here. Girona have won six of their 11 home league fixtures this term, but we are predicting a low-scoring draw here, which both managers would likely take if that were offered ahead of kickoff.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
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