SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Almeria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Girona | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cadiz | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Elche | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Getafe |
55.95% ( 1.12) | 27.24% ( -0.31) | 16.81% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 35.89% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34% ( 0.03) | 66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.41% ( 0.02) | 84.58% ( -0.02) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.51) | 24.16% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.52% ( 0.72) | 58.48% ( -0.72) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.33% ( -1.03) | 52.67% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.56% ( -0.67) | 86.44% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 18.07% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 55.94% | 0-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.28% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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