SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Getafe |
50.12% ( -0.02) | 26.44% ( -0.03) | 23.44% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% ( 0.12) | 57.38% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% ( 0.1) | 78.2% ( -0.1) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.05) | 22.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.21% ( 0.07) | 56.78% ( -0.07) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( 0.11) | 40.09% ( -0.11) |
