This has all of the makings of a very interesting game of football, and both teams will believe that they can cause problems in the final third of the field. It would not be a surprise to see a draw at Mestalla, but we just have a feeling that Valencia will do enough to put another three points on the board.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
