SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
45.89% ( -0.08) | 26.33% ( 0) | 27.77% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( 0.02) | 54.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( 0.02) | 75.52% ( -0.02) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.03) | 23.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.04) | 57.56% ( 0.04) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( 0.07) | 34.51% ( -0.07) |
