SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Barcelona |
18.43% ( -0.05) | 23.89% ( -0.15) | 57.68% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% ( 0.46) | 53.34% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% ( 0.39) | 74.88% ( -0.39) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.93% ( 0.21) | 43.07% ( -0.21) |
