SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Sevilla | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Girona |
42.89% ( -0.02) | 27.45% ( 0.05) | 29.66% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.6% ( -0.2) | 57.39% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( -0.16) | 78.21% ( 0.16) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -0.1) | 26.49% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.32% ( -0.14) | 61.68% ( 0.14) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( -0.13) | 34.8% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.46% ( -0.14) | 71.54% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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