Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
-0.6) 
0.65) 
