Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
-0.86) 
1.44) 
