Nine of the last 14 La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we can see another stalemate occurring here. Mallorca have home advantage, but their overall form has been disappointing in 2025, and we are backing Osasuna to secure a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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