SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
56.26% ( 0.03) | 22.75% ( -0.03) | 20.98% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( 0.13) | 45.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( 0.13) | 67.73% ( -0.13) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( 0.06) | 15.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.78% ( 0.11) | 45.22% ( -0.11) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( 0.07) | 35.72% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.51% ( 0.08) | 72.49% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 56.26% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.98% |
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