SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
35.72% ( 0.03) | 23.69% ( -0.04) | 40.59% |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( 0.18) | 39.53% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( 0.18) | 61.88% ( -0.19) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.1) | 22.15% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( 0.15) | 55.54% ( -0.15) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( 0.07) | 19.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.15% ( 0.12) | 51.85% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.72% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.59% |
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