SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Midtjylland in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Union SG |
46.41% ( 0.72) | 24.49% ( 0.02) | 29.09% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.5) | 45.71% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( -0.48) | 68.03% ( 0.48) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0.11) | 19.8% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( 0.17) | 51.86% ( -0.16) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.76) | 29.16% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -0.95) | 65.1% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.42% Total : 29.09% |
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