SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Union SG |
45.53% ( 3.45) | 24.85% ( 0.38) | 29.61% ( -3.84) |
| Both teams to score 55.94% ( -3.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( -3.27) | 47.01% ( 3.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( -3.12) | 69.26% ( 3.12) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( 0.19) | 20.7% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.69% ( 0.3) | 53.31% ( -0.3) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -4.07) | 29.46% ( 4.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( -5.28) | 65.46% ( 5.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 1.3) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 7.56% ( 1.06)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.58)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.7% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.8)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.46)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.63)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.64)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.49)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.42)Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.61% |
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