SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FCSB | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
41.57% ( -0.03) | 24.72% ( 0.05) | 33.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.16% ( -0.23) | 44.83% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% ( -0.22) | 67.19% ( 0.22) |
| FCSB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( -0.11) | 21.59% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% ( -0.17) | 54.68% ( 0.17) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% ( -0.12) | 25.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% ( -0.16) | 60.68% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| FCSB | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.7% |
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